Zhao Xintong is the Form Rating favourite at 81%, against 19% for Gao Yang. They have met twice since June 2025, and Zhao Xintong leads 2–0. Zhao Xintong won the last meeting 5–0 in the last 64 of the 2026 Wuhan Open. Zhao Xintong is 11–6 this season with 21 centuries.
The percentages come from the Century Radar Form Rating, a margin-of-victory Elo over the last 12 months. We back-tested it on 408 matches of best-of-7 or longer played between 30 May 2026 and 4 October 2026, using only the ratings each player had before the match. The favourite won 60.8% of them, and 71.1% of the 90 where we held both players' full records. Best-of-7 matches are short, so upsets are common.