Result: Anthony McGill won 4–1. The Form Rating favoured Anthony McGill, so the prediction was right.
Anthony McGill is the Form Rating favourite at 56%, against 44% for Stephen Maguire. They have met once since June 2025, and Stephen Maguire leads 1–0. Stephen Maguire won the last meeting 5–0 in the last 48 of the 2025 Saudi Arabia Masters. Stephen Maguire is 5–5 this season with 3 centuries. Anthony McGill is 12–5 this season with 2 centuries.
The percentages come from the Century Radar Form Rating, a margin-of-victory Elo over the last 12 months. We back-tested it on 408 matches of best-of-7 or longer played between 30 May 2026 and 4 October 2026, using only the ratings each player had before the match. The favourite won 60.8% of them, and 71.1% of the 90 where we held both players' full records. Best-of-7 matches are short, so upsets are common.