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← Northern Ireland Open 2026: all matches

Lei Peifan vs Luca Brecel

Northern Ireland Open 2026 · Last 64 · Best of 7 · Mon 19 Oct, 13:00 UK time · Waterfront Hall, Belfast

Lei Peifan
52%
Form Rating 1494 · #30
Luca Brecel
48%
Form Rating 1477 · partial record

Result: Luca Brecel won 4–1. The Form Rating favoured Lei Peifan, so the prediction was wrong.

The Form Rating sees this as close to even: Lei Peifan 52%, Luca Brecel 48%. They haven't met in the matches we hold, which start in June 2025. Lei Peifan is 3–7 this season with 1 century.

We hold only part of Luca Brecel's record (matches against the players we track), so this number is less certain. Across all matches in our back-test the favourite won 60.8%.

Recent form

Last five results

Lei Peifan

  • L 1–5 v Neil Robertson 2026 Shenzhen Open, Last 32
  • W 6–1 v Iulian Boiko 2026 International Championship, Last 128
  • L 3–4 v Ashley Carty 2026 English Open, Last 64
  • L 3–4 v Mark Selby 2026 British Open, Last 64
  • L 4–6 v Barry Hawkins 2026 Shanghai Masters, Last 24

Luca Brecel

Only matches against the players we track.

How the prediction works

The percentages come from the Century Radar Form Rating, a margin-of-victory Elo over the last 12 months. We back-tested it on 408 matches of best-of-7 or longer played between 30 May 2026 and 4 October 2026, using only the ratings each player had before the match. The favourite won 60.8% of them, and 71.1% of the 90 where we held both players' full records. Best-of-7 matches are short, so upsets are common.

Draw and times: Wikipedia: 2026 Northern Ireland Open (draw, format, prize money) · snooker.org order of play (times). Checked 10 October 2026.