Result: Ricky Walden won 4–1. The Form Rating favoured Neil Robertson, so the prediction was wrong.
Neil Robertson is the Form Rating favourite at 67%, against 33% for Ricky Walden. They haven't met in the matches we hold, which start in June 2025. Neil Robertson is 9–7 this season with 11 centuries.
The percentages come from the Century Radar Form Rating, a margin-of-victory Elo over the last 12 months. We back-tested it on 408 matches of best-of-7 or longer played between 30 May 2026 and 4 October 2026, using only the ratings each player had before the match. The favourite won 60.8% of them, and 71.1% of the 90 where we held both players' full records. Best-of-7 matches are short, so upsets are common.