Result: Martin O'Donnell won 4–3. The Form Rating favoured Judd Trump, so the prediction was wrong.
Judd Trump is the Form Rating favourite at 84%, against 16% for Martin O'Donnell. They have met once since June 2025, and Judd Trump leads 1–0. Judd Trump won the last meeting 4–2 in the last 32 of the 2025 British Open. Judd Trump is 18–6 this season with 17 centuries. Martin O'Donnell is 4–6 this season with no centuries.
The percentages come from the Century Radar Form Rating, a margin-of-victory Elo over the last 12 months. We back-tested it on 408 matches of best-of-7 or longer played between 30 May 2026 and 4 October 2026, using only the ratings each player had before the match. The favourite won 60.8% of them, and 71.1% of the 90 where we held both players' full records. Best-of-7 matches are short, so upsets are common.