Result: Joe O'Connor won 4–1. The Form Rating favoured Joe O'Connor, so the prediction was right.
The Form Rating sees this as close to even: Joe O'Connor 53%, Matthew Stevens 47%. They haven't met in the matches we hold, which start in June 2025. Matthew Stevens is 4–7 this season with 4 centuries.
The percentages come from the Century Radar Form Rating, a margin-of-victory Elo over the last 12 months. We back-tested it on 408 matches of best-of-7 or longer played between 30 May 2026 and 4 October 2026, using only the ratings each player had before the match. The favourite won 60.8% of them, and 71.1% of the 90 where we held both players' full records. Best-of-7 matches are short, so upsets are common.