Result: Matthew Selt won 4–3. The Form Rating favoured Hossein Vafaei, so the prediction was wrong.
Hossein Vafaei is the Form Rating favourite at 60%, against 40% for Matthew Selt. They have met once since June 2025, and Matthew Selt leads 1–0. Matthew Selt won the last meeting 4–1 in the last 64 of the 2026 English Open. Hossein Vafaei is 6–6 this season with 8 centuries.
The percentages come from the Century Radar Form Rating, a margin-of-victory Elo over the last 12 months. We back-tested it on 408 matches of best-of-7 or longer played between 30 May 2026 and 4 October 2026, using only the ratings each player had before the match. The favourite won 60.8% of them, and 71.1% of the 90 where we held both players' full records. Best-of-7 matches are short, so upsets are common.