← Northern Ireland Open 2026: all matches

Chang Bingyu vs Ryan Day

Northern Ireland Open 2026 · Last 64 · Best of 7 · Tue 20 Oct, 10:00 UK time · Waterfront Hall, Belfast

Chang Bingyu
74%
Form Rating 1669 · partial record
26%
Form Rating 1484 · #31

Chang Bingyu is the Form Rating favourite at 74%, against 26% for Ryan Day. They have met once since June 2025, and Chang Bingyu leads 1–0. Chang Bingyu won the last meeting 3–0 of the 2026 Championship League. Ryan Day is 5–5 this season with 3 centuries.

We hold only part of Chang Bingyu's record (matches against the players we track), so this number is less certain. Across all matches in our back-test the favourite won 60.8%.

Head-to-head

3–0 2026 Championship League · 23 June 2026

Scores read Chang Bingyu first.

Recent form

Last five results

Chang Bingyu

Only matches against the players we track.

Ryan Day

  • W 4–3 v Michal Szubarczyk 2026 Scottish Open, Last 96
  • W 6–4 v Liam Graham 2026 International Championship, Last 128
  • L 3–5 v Barry Hawkins 2026 Wuhan Open, Last 32
  • L 3–4 v Jamie Clarke 2026 English Open, Last 96
  • L 3–4 v Chatchapong Nasa 2026 British Open, Last 128

Related reading

How the prediction works

The percentages come from the Century Radar Form Rating, a margin-of-victory Elo over the last 12 months. We back-tested it on 408 matches of best-of-7 or longer played between 30 May 2026 and 4 October 2026, using only the ratings each player had before the match. The favourite won 60.8% of them, and 71.1% of the 90 where we held both players' full records. Best-of-7 matches are short, so upsets are common.

Draw and times: Wikipedia: 2026 Northern Ireland Open (draw, format, prize money) · snooker.org order of play (times). Checked 10 October 2026.