Result: Xu Si won 4–0. The Form Rating favoured Ali Carter, so the prediction was wrong.
Ali Carter is the Form Rating favourite at 70%, against 30% for Xu Si. They have met once since June 2025, and Ali Carter leads 1–0. Ali Carter won the last meeting 5–0 in the last 16 of the 2026 German Masters. Ali Carter is 11–6 this season with 11 centuries.
The percentages come from the Century Radar Form Rating, a margin-of-victory Elo over the last 12 months. We back-tested it on 408 matches of best-of-7 or longer played between 30 May 2026 and 4 October 2026, using only the ratings each player had before the match. The favourite won 60.8% of them, and 71.1% of the 90 where we held both players' full records. Best-of-7 matches are short, so upsets are common.